Tag: Nigeria

68% Nigerians do not trust Nigerian Government in handling frontliners in the Nations capital.

Facing its second recession in four years, with -3.4 per cent GDP growth forecast by the IMF, the country has little economic resilience.

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Nigeria will not be able to sustain restrictions on its strong workforce, 83.2 per cent of which operate in the informal sector.
One area at particular risk is food security, as the pandemic is disrupting farming, supply chains and trade.
Nigeria’s economic confidence may deteriorate further as COVID-19 continues to take a toll on the nations economy.
However, More than 3 in four Nigerians express their distrust in Government in handling the Coronavirus isolation centre.
A front liner in the Nations capital Abuja complained of lack of logistics and welfare for himself and his colleages from the Government,
plans are on going to have a  nationwide strike if the Government do not meet their demand.

Governments around the world are leveraging different strategies to combat the spread  of COVID-19, they are using models
from city quarantines and social distancing. What all these strategies have in common is that public trust and immediate responsiveness
is necessary for them to succeed.

Coronavirus: Do you support a second total lockdown?

Nigeria’s President Muhammadu Buhari on Monday, 4th May announced the gradual phasing out of the country’s lockdown in Ogun States, Lagos and Abuja.

The Nigerian Presidential Task Force on Coronavirus has urged state governments to ensure that they have isolation facilities in their localities. These facilities should:

  • Have at least 300 beds;
  • And be preferably linked to existing infectious disease centres or medical centres (such as tuberculosis and HIV centres), as this makes it easier to continue to make use of them after the pandemic.

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However, any spaces will do, with health minister Osagie Ehanire, saying: “I urge all states to find more beds for isolation and treatment, and this may include hotels.”

Testing

Nigeria’s policy is one of targeted testing. This involves identifying those who are most likely to be infected, namely those who have just come back from other countries and those they have been in contact with.

In terms of contact tracing, the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control has identified between six and seven thousand contacts cumulatively. The focus of last week was to improve the level of contract tracing, made easier by the lockdown.

With contact tracing, each new case tends to have about 30-40 contacts to follow up. Every contact is followed up with for 14 days.

To date, about 30% of all the cases in the country have been found via contact tracing.

Coronavirus hotline

There is also a national coronavirus hotline. Statistics from the Lagos centre shows some problems:

  • 80% of calls received are hoax calls;
  • 11% of calls received are welcomed – they are people asking for information;
  • 9% of the calls are received from members of the community who feel that they might have been infected;
  • And  just 4% of the calls result in a red flag. This means that Lagos State dispatches members of the healthcare service to either test the individual or to bring them to health facilities.

Targets for key areas

Health teams in Abuja and Lagos have five key targets:

  • To ensure the collection of samples happens within eight hours for people with COVID-19 symptoms;
  • To ensure that the time taken for testing and for the results to be revealed is less than 24 hours;
  • To test 200 samples per day in Lagos and 100 per day in Abuja;
  • To isolate patients in less than six hours after they have tested positive for the virus;
  • And to isolate every confirmed case.

The success of the state healthcare teams will be measured on each of these indicators, and the observations will be used to improve the effectiveness of response.

Since the easing of the lockdown, over 3,000 new cases has been recorded, we want you to share your thought if you want the federal government of Nigeria to continue with the total lock-down.

[poll id=”42″]

 

The Economic Trap of Coronavirus in Nigeria – Ahmed Adamu, PhD

reputationpoll
The longer the pandemic stays, the more expensive the recovery will be.  So, the government would need to spend more now to cut the waiting period, because every minute comes with a steeper recovery cost. This crisis is unique and by far different from the 2008 economic crisis. Now let’s analyze these questions, can the Nigerian government bear these costs and what’s the Nigerian best bet? How to manage the coronavirus economic crisis and how different the current economic crisis is from the 2008 global recession?

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More than half of the total jobs in Nigeria is being lost, people lose their jobs without social protection and are being asked to stay at home. Income losses are estimated to amount to at least N3 Trillion in Nigeria alone in just a matter of a few months. Investment is rapidly going down. Factories have shut down, even factories that insist on production in this period could not operate as their workers decided to stay at home for their safety despite the bonus offered to them, and this led to scarcity and hence Inflation.
The economic paralyses are spreading even faster than the pandemic. The effects of these and many other economic paralyses caused by the novel coronavirus will leave a scar and reverberate around economies even in the aftermath of the pandemic.
The gap is getting wider, it requires refill by the day. The financial contributions made so far in Nigeria by public and private individuals and organizations to fight the coronavirus, which amounted to over N30 billion, is an opportunity to start somewhere, at least, to contain the disease, fund development of the testing kits and maybe fund researches for the development of its cure. This is a period where external intervention may be limited because every country is concerned about their health and economic uncertainties.
How to manage the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus is by far different by how we managed the world economic recession back in 2008. The 2008 global recession was a normal economic cycle that happens at least once in a generation and it was seen coming. It was more of the effect of human errors and decisions, and it was caused by variables within the economy. During the 2008 recession, the economy was not shut down, it was active. So, the aftermath bailout and other injections were smooth, and the time lag was not that long.
In contrast, the recession caused by the coronavirus is external to the economy, unexpected, very fast and more severe. It also put the economies on hold, and at the same time spending a lot to keep it on hold. The money that could be used to revive the economy has to be spent to fund the management of the pandemic and for social protections during the economic hold on. The loss of jobs in the current crisis is 10 times more than the 2008 economic crisis. Similarly, in the 2008 crisis, the oil price did not plummet to as far low as below $20 per barrel as it is now, the lowest it reached then was $32 per barrel, so, there were some reasonable revenues to fund that recovery. The current crisis came with two punches, a sharp increase in demand for government spending and a deep decline in government revenue. So, when we eventually come out of this pandemic, are we going to have the energy to go for another war, the economic war?
The effects of these shutdowns and lockdowns will echo after the pandemic and might cause some social and economic unrest, which require redress too. So, the government needs to spend more money this time around to recover the economy as an economic stimulus. Other countries would be focused on reviving their economy too, every country will be on their own. According to the United Nations, developing countries would need a $2.5 trillion COVID-19 rescue package to revive their economies. For Nigeria, at least a $100 billion rescue is required.
Our best bet in Nigeria is to do our best to stop the spread because the more it spreads, the longer it lasts, and the more we expose ourselves to graver dangers ahead. So, it is cheaper for us to do everything possible to end the pandemic in just a month, let us target the end of April. However, with the increasing rate of new cases, it is not encouraging.
Everyone has to take this pandemic as a personal economic threat because it is a trap, we all fall in. Think about Taxi and bus drivers, restaurants, hotels, barbers, airlines, social and sporting centers, and other informal and semi-formal businesses in this period, it is a catastrophe. Our individual and collective economies are severely affected by the day, and if it continues there will be chaos, a bigger catastrophe. Closing down the economy longer might lead to even bigger problems. The Swedish relaxed approach can be considered in Nigeria as soon as possible.
I would like to commend the efforts of health authorities for their efforts so far, and I want to implore them to make judicious use of the resources contributed. In this case, it must not be the Nigerian way, because it is a matter of life and death. The President needs to be more proactive and work closely with the task force to supervise the operation and receive minute by minute updates. The visibility is not necessary, but in the period of crisis and uncertainty, people need to be seeing and hearing from their leaders for more partnerships, hopes, and psychological stability. We are in a war, a health and economic war, our commanders-in-chief need to be more proactive in the period of war.
Dr. Ahmed Adamu
Petroleum Economist, Nile University, Abuja.
Nigeria

Nigerians cautious as restrictions eased in Lagos and Abuja

In Nigeria, some businesses have reopened on the first working day after the easing of a lockdown imposed on key urban areas in a bid to restart Africa’s largest economy.

But the main doctors’ association described the move as “very premature”.

In the commercial hub, Lagos, traffic jams were absent, indicating that many were remaining indoors.

Last week, President Muhammadu Buhari said the measures had imposed “a very heavy economic cost”.

The lockdown began five weeks ago to contain the spread of coronavirus.

As many in the big cities live a hand-to-mouth existence, the restrictions led to fears that it could leave people hungry as it cut off their means to earn money.

Nigeria is one of several African countries beginning to loosen restrictions. Egypt, Rwanda, South Africa and Tunisia have also relaxed their coronavirus lockdowns.

What could happen to the economy?

The country’s economy is also predicted to suffer because of a collapse in the oil price.

Standard Chartered Bank has forecast that in light of the impact of coronavirus Nigeria’s economy will only grow by 0.2% this year, it previously forecasted 2.5% growth.

In Lagos, as well as the absence of the city’s notorious traffic jams, there are also fewer of the city’s famous yellow public buses plying their routes.
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The bus stops, which are normally bustling with commuters, had a few stranded passengers, who then tried to cram on to any vehicles that stopped.

The lockdown, imposed on 30 March in Lagos, neighbouring Ogun state and the capital, Abuja, meant that many businesses were closed as people were required to stay indoors, except for essential journeys. Markets were allowed to stay open for limited hours.

Restrictions, which were imposed later, have also been eased in Kano state in the north, where an investigation is under way into reports of mass deaths.

Supermarkets and some fruit and vegetable markets are allowed to open from 10:00 to 16:00 on Mondays and Thursdays to allow people to buy food and other basic necessities, according to a government statement.

Why are people concerned about the easing?

But some have expressed concerns that the government’s decision to ease restrictions has been premature as the number of new coronavirus cases does not appear to be tailing off.

“Only the living can enjoy their money,” said Joy Ugochukwu who works with an auditing firm in Lagos’ Victoria Island business district.

She said she was delaying her return to work despite a message from her employer asking her to resume on Monday.

“The virus is going to increase now everyone is rushing out,” she said.

What Buhari, Trump discussed on phone

President Muhammadu Buhari Tuesday afternoon received a telephone call from American President, Donald Trump, during which the two leaders commiserated with each other on fatalities in their countries, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

They also shared ideas on how to successfully combat the health emergency.

President Buhari expressed condolences to the government and people of the United States over the fatalities recorded, and equally expressed worry at the high rate of deaths recorded across the world.

The associated negative impacts of the pandemic on the world’s economy also came up for discussion.

The Nigerian President lauded his American counterpart for the various initiatives adopted by his government to contain the further spread of the virus across the United States.
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He indicated Nigeria’s readiness to cooperate with the United States to fight this common unseen enemy.

President Buhari informed that Nigeria had taken a number of proactive measures to contain the spread of the COVID-19 across the country.

The President welcomed the valuable friendship and expressed appreciation to President Trump for reaching out at this time.

What is behind Nigeria’s unexplained deaths in Kano?

The Nigerian president has expressed deep concern over a high number of unexplained deaths in the northern state of Kano, amid fears they could be caused by Covid-19.

President Muhammadu Buhari said a lockdown would be imposed in Kano for an additional two weeks, and that he was sending a government team to investigate.

Nigeria’s Health Minister Dr Osagie Ehanire says the situation is being “monitored closely”.

But following preliminary investigations the state authorities have dismissed a connection with coronavirus.

  • Why some Nigerians are gloating about coronavirus
  • Helping those struggling to eat amid the lockdowns
  • Nigeria’s mega churches adjust to empty auditoriums

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Hundreds of people are rumoured to have died in the community but no official death records are kept.

Grave diggers initially raised concerns that they were burying a higher than usual number of bodies.

Ali, a grave digger at the Abattoir Graveyard, told the BBC: “We have never seen this, since the major cholera outbreak that our parents tell us about. That was about 60 years ago.”

This week, the state governor issued a statement saying the “mysterious deaths” were unrelated to coronavirus.

But after ordering a “thorough investigation into the immediate and remote causes of the deaths”, announced that their preliminary findings “indicated that the deaths are not connected to the Covid-19 pandemic”.

The state government said “reports from the state ministry of health has shown that most of the deaths were caused by complications arising from hypertension, diabetes, meningitis and acute malaria”.

“Governor Abdullahi Umar Ganduje is earnestly waiting for the final report from the state ministry of health so as to take the necessary action.”

The commercial and industrial centre of the north, Kano has become the epicentre of coronavirus in northern Nigeria. Its highly dense population is still in lockdown in an effort to contain the spread of the virus.

Don’t tests show the cause of death?

State officials started testing for Covid-19 two weeks ago and one lab has had to close due to contamination. Samples are being sent to the capital, Abuja, which authorities say is causing a delay in announcing how many positive cases have been detected in the state.

Dr Sani Aliyu, who is the national co-ordinator for the presidential task force on Covid-19, says a team of five medical experts were deployed to Kano to facilitate in reopening the testing centre this week after it was fumigated.

Officials also plan to open a second lab, at Bayero University, for testing for Covid-19 from next week.

How many people have died?

It is unclear how many people have died, as the deaths causing concern are happening in the community. Deaths in many parts of Nigeria are not registered, and so for those who died outside of hospital, no records are kept.

This makes it difficult to understand how many people have died in recent weeks.

Sabitu Shaibu, the deputy head of the state task force on Covid-19, is hoping to release preliminary findings of the investigation by next week but believes that most of the rumoured 640 deaths are from natural causes and says the figure is below the average death rate for Kano.

Hospital records which provide the only death register available are thought to provide lower numbers than the real picture across the state.

Those on the investigating taskforce say they will conduct “verbal autopsies” with family members to help establish why people are dying.

If not coronavirus, what else could be going on?

Private hospitals which provide for a significant part of health provision in the region have been closed due to coronavirus fears. This could mean a lack of support for those with existing conditions who may have died as a result.

Dr Nagoma Sadiq who works at the Aminu Kano Hospital, thinks this could be behind the additional deaths, but he is also not ruling out coronavirus.

“It’s shocking to most of us that the count of the dead is alarming. But it’s likely due to the reduction in the number of health institutions available in the state.

“Because there are a lot of hypertensive patients, diabetic patients, asthmatic patients, cancer patients, and they don’t have much access to the hospitals. The lockdown is affecting everybody.

“Our poor majority don’t even have a vehicle to take them to the hospitals.”

 

Grave digger Ali agrees, adding “some say the current situation is due to the epidemic, others say it’s difficulties of life. People have so many problems in their lives and a lack of peace of mind.”

However Covid-19 is known to be more dangerous for those with underlying health conditions, so it could be that the deaths are related to coronavirus. The only way to know for sure is to test for coronavirus.

Dr Sadiq also said that there was still a concern about an ongoing Lassa fever infection amongst communities. The state has had five confirmed cases and one death, according to the most recent report from the Nigerian Centre For Disease Control.

Kano currently has 77 positive cases of coronavirus with three deaths.

Authorities are urging the public not to panic.

What else did the president announce?

President Buhari announced a gradual easing of lockdown restrictions in Abuja, Lagos and neighbouring Ogun state from next Monday.

But he also said that the government would impose a curfew across the country between 20:00 and 06:00, require everyone to wear face masks in public, and stop “non-essential inter-state passenger travel”.

Bans on social and religious gatherings will also remain in place.

CREDIT: BBC

IMF: NIGERIA, A MAJOR PLAYER IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICAN ECONOMY

Sub-Saharan Africa has Nigeria to thank for better economic growth prospects next year.

The region’s economy will probably expand 3.8 percent in 2019, the International Monetary Fund said in its World Economic Outlook update released Monday. That compares with a 3.7 percent prediction in April.

In its latest World Economic Outlook Update released on Monday (yesterday), the IMF said the upwardly revised growth is supported by the rise in commodity prices.

igeria is expected to be the standout performer amid recovery in oil prices. Nigeria’s growth is set to increase from 0.8% in 2017 to 2.1% in 2018 and 2.3% in 2019 on the back of an improved outlook for oil prices.
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Nigeria and South Africa are the continent’s two biggest economies and positive economic growth in the two will see recovery in sub-Saharan Africa continue, according to the report.

“The recovery in sub-Saharan Africa is set to continue, supported by the rise in commodity prices. For the region, growth is expected to increase from 2.8% in 2017 to 3.4% this year, rising further to 3.8% in 2019.”

The upgraded forecast reflects improved prospects for Nigeria’s economy. Its growth is set to increase from 0.8% in 2017 to 2.1% in 2018,” the IMF said.

Kehinde Tosin Confirms Choice of Nigeria over England

Manchester United’s Tosin Kehinde, 19 year-old, has set his sights on playing for Nigeria as a Super Eagle at international games.

The U23 squad player, was born in Lagos but raised in the UK and is eligible to play for both Nigeria and England.

At 13 he joined Man United’s junior ranks, rising through the age groups to play for the U23 squad. Kehinde trained with the United first-team earlier this season and has started 15 times for the Under-23s in the Premier League 2. His strike at Chelsea in September was nominated for the club’s goal of the month competition.

He is yet to make an appearance in Jose Mourinho’s first team squad but he has occasionally trained with the team at the invitation of the Portuguese manager.

“I hope to play in the first team, that’s every player’s dream and my dream also.”

“When you are growing up, when you see players like Jay Jay Okocha, how good he was and the current crop of players such as Alex Iwobi and Super Eagles captain, Mikel Obi, the desire to get the opportunity to play for Nigeria has always been there really,” said Kehinde.

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The player met Nigerian Football Federation  officials in London last week

The player met Nigerian Football Federation  officials including Vice President Shehu Dikko, Secretary General Mohammed Sanusi and manager Gernot Rohr at the Super Eagles Crowne Plaza Hotel in London last weekend, ahead of their London friendly with Serbia, to start the process of formalising his Nigerian footballing status. He was accompanied by his parents to the meeting.

Kehinde says he wants to follow in the footsteps of Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi, , who opted to play for the Super Eagles instead of England in 2015 and other players like Victor Moses and Ola Aina.

Alex Iwobi also chose Nigeria in 2015

“Nigeria has always been a part of me. I was born there.  I come from a very strong Nigerian background so the influence has always been around me,” Kehinde told BBC Sports.

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